Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 935 | 70% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1236 | 1115 | 67% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 934 | 909 | 54% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1041 | 830 | 77% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1197 | 1197 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1112 | 52% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 798 | 942 | 30% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1011 has a 56.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).