Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1017 | 906 | 65% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 964 | 999 | 45% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 964 | 999 | 45% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 879 | 71% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1216 | 26% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1276 | 16% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1102 | 49% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 707 | 958 | 19% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1062.9 has a 45.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).