Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 931 | 62% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 931 | 997 | 41% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 931 | 997 | 41% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 881 | 68% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1242 | 21% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 1196 | 24% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1153 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 812 | 969 | 29% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1036.3 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).