Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 919 | 64% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 1026 | 999 | 54% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 999 | 54% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 980 | 879 | 64% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1216 | 20% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1276 | 23% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1153 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1103 | 48% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 756 | 958 | 24% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1046.4 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).