Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1225 | 43% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1195 | 1109 | 62% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.5 vs 1075.9 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).