Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1097 | 30% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1097 | 68% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1129 | 46% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1263 | 1107 | 71% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1100.9 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).