Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 933 | 79% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 955 | 1045 | 37% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 998 | 38% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1100 | 54% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1142 | 1047 | 63% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 954 | 73% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1021.9 has a 55.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).