Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (36 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 59
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 972 | 58% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Won |
| 909 | 1038 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 964 | 1152 | 25% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 989 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1215 | 960 | 81% | 2023-11-22 | Won |
| 1227 | 946 | 83% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 946 | 1227 | 17% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1110 | 967 | 69% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-12-04 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1022 | 48% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1108 | 59% | 2016-04-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1220 | 939 | 83% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1003 | 1199 | 24% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1007 | 1135 | 32% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1220 | 960 | 82% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1068.3 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).