Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (36 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 953 | 59% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-19 | | Won |
| 909 | 1043 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-09-21 | | Won |
| 945 | 1150 | 24% | 2024-05-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2023-11-22 | | Won |
| 1211 | 946 | 82% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 946 | 1211 | 18% | 2023-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2019-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2019-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2018-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2018-04-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2018-01-10 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2017-12-27 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2016-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1298 | 939 | 89% | 2016-03-07 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 1298 | 1120 | 74% | 2015-01-25 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1049.8 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).