Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (19 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1178 | 1012 | 72% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1110 | 35% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1178 | 993 | 74% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 1178 | 21% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1217 | 30% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1178 | 28% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 1253 | 45% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1225 | 1178 | 57% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1069 | 53% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1217 | 37% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1217 | 27% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 957 | 61% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1089.1 vs 1118.9 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).