Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (17 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 930 | 1011 | 39% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1067 | 54% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 930 | 997 | 40% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 943 | 930 | 52% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 930 | 61% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1266 | 1255 | 52% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1170 | 930 | 80% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1199 | 35% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1219 | 50% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1017 | 959 | 58% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1066.1 vs 1058.7 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).