Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (24 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 996 | 55% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1019 | 1065 | 43% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1074 | 53% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1062 | 31% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 1074 | 33% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1011 | 56% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1255 | 28% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 1151 | 17% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 933 | 994 | 41% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1120 | 984 | 69% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1129 | 1035 | 63% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1137 | 59% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1119 | 39% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1119 | 1067 | 57% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1051.4 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).