Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (31 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 1028 | 78% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 918 | 870 | 57% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 956 | 1045 | 37% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1073 | 963 | 65% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 959 | 981 | 47% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 959 | 981 | 47% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 1081 | 40% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1018 | 65% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1094 | 27% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 1094 | 30% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 959 | 52% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1134 | 1243 | 35% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1052 | 31% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1177 | 1087 | 63% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 879 | 78% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1283 | 1187 | 63% | 2017-08-13 | Won |
| 1041 | 1045 | 49% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 1040 | 39% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1043 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).