Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (19 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1120 | 60% | 2026-02-21 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1128 | 35% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 924 | 92% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1052 | 48% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1097 | 1216 | 34% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2016-10-31 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1140 | 57% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1039 | 63% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1231 | 1019 | 77% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1231 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1097 | 68% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1145.4 vs 1092.8 has a 57.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).