Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (15 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1097 | 41% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1008 | 55% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 888 | 908 | 47% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1129 | 46% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1242 | 21% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1119 | 39% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1145 | 49% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1310 | 1000 | 86% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1114 | 1045 | 60% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 992 | 79% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1104.8 vs 1062.1 has a 56.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).