Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1111 | 50% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1089 | 42% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 1186 | 36% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 1216 | 27% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1177 | 1151 | 54% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1201 | 41% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1011 | 87% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1340 | 1000 | 88% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1054 | 57% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1132 vs 1092.4 has a 55.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).