Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (28 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 1036 | 69% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 903 | 72% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 993 | 56% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 904 | 1307 | 9% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 978 | 1037 | 42% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1086 | 63% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1177 | 1084 | 63% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1085 | 1098 | 48% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1086 | 67% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 929 | 78% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1274 | 1315 | 44% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1274 | 25% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1141 | 42% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1020 | 61% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1419 | 1282 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 992 | 70% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1138 | 52% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1098.8 vs 1056.5 has a 56.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).