Out Of Their Element
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1052 | 49% | 2026-02-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 989 | 70% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 965 | 77% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1005 | 54% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1342 | 1117 | 79% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 940 | 1093 | 29% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1037 | 61% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 890 | 942 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1342 | 16% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1110 | 57% | 2014-12-11 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1059 | 75% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1071 | 48% | 2014-11-04 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1117 | 45% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 959 | 74% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 1032 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1049 | 74% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1097.1 vs 1052.7 has a 56.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).