An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 901 | 1213 | 14% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1119 | 44% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1045 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1156 | 71% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1245 | 30% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1069 | 54% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1125 | 31% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 974 | 1008 | 45% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1053.5 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).