Hammer Time
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Belgian / French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2026-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1062 | 63% | 2026-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2025-08-31 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2021-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2018-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2018-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2017-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2016-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2016-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2016-01-25 | | Won |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2015-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1014 | 50% | 2015-12-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2015-07-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2015-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1011 | 53% | 2015-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1037 | 75% | 2015-03-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1060.4 has a 47.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).