The Krutoy Log Roll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2025-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-08-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 1140.7 has a 30.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).