City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (19 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 945 | 60% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 991 | 941 | 57% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 1046 | 47% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 941 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 982 | 65% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 900 | 1024 | 33% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1253 | 1000 | 81% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1069.1 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).