City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1007 | 61% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 919 | 1025 | 35% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1213 | 29% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 996 | 1255 | 18% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1255 | 996 | 82% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 926 | 1061 | 31% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1119 | 1148 | 46% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1310 | 1000 | 86% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 996 | 1163 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1098.6 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).