Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (20 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (Japanese): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1085 | 973 | 66% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 977 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1222 | 28% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1049 | 47% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 960 | 60% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1124 | 70% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1178 | 1059 | 66% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1171 | 51% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1090 | 64% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 917 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 1060.5 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).