Ambush at De Hoop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (15 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-02-10 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1134 | 37% | 2021-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-06-14 | | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | | Won |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2020-03-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 1066 | 905 | 72% | 2019-05-05 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2018-12-28 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2016-10-11 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-04-09 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2015-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2014-07-04 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1030.9 has a 58.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).