The Fifth's Rearguard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1214 | 1021 | 75% | 2026-09-05 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2026-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1200 | 919 | 83% | 2026-09-04 | | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2026-09-04 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2024-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2014-06-19 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1182 | 33% | 2013-11-08 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1030 has a 56.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).