Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (14 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 33
Defender wins (British): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1128 | 963 | 72% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 960 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 985 | 63% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1106 | 52% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1058 | 65% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1131 | 1029 | 64% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1108.6 vs 999.4 has a 65.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).