Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1024 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1085 | 973 | 66% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 996 | 60% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 962 | 69% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 996 | 55% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1103 | 60% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1099 | 59% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 892 | 73% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1138 | 32% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1030.3 has a 58.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).