To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 963 | 84% | 2022-03-03 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1025 | 39% | 2022-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1039 | 53% | 2021-05-20 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2019-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1037 | 66% | 2019-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2018-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-07-06 | | Won |
| 1242 | 945 | 85% | 2016-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1021 | 70% | 2015-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2015-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2015-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2014-10-19 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1120 | 30% | 2014-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-08-30 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2014-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1154 | 29% | 2014-07-26 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1343 | 10% | 2014-06-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1088.7 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).