Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1042 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1047 | 1051 | 49% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1171 | 1030 | 69% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 996 | 1093 | 36% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 985 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 985 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1047 | 44% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-10-23 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 836 | 879 | 44% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1044.5 has a 56.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).