Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (18 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-08 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2022-04-28 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2022-01-09 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 961 | 1134 | 27% | 2019-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2017-11-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 954 | 75% | 2017-11-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2017-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2015-03-16 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2014-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2014-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2014-06-21 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2014-03-07 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1061.8 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).