War Ensemble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (British (Gurkha)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1007 | 57% | 2021-12-07 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1005 | 68% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1041 | 52% | 2019-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 940 | 72% | 2014-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2014-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2014-03-15 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1060 | 46% | 2014-02-08 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1060 | 46% | 2014-02-07 | | Won |
| 1185 | 982 | 76% | 2014-01-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2014-01-21 | | Won |
| 973 | 1219 | 20% | 2013-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1171 | 44% | 2013-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | | Won |
| 1310 | 1008 | 85% | 2013-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1063.1 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).