Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (21 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1076 | 45% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 1263 | 14% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1024 | 964 | 59% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 878 | 826 | 57% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1098 | 59% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1174 | 25% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1071 | 76% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 965 | 71% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1210 | 1253 | 44% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 953 | 66% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1130 | 45% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1046 | 45% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1100 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1083.9 vs 1055.4 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).