Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1021 | 54% | 2025-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1132 | 54% | 2021-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1226 | 28% | 2017-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1108 | 36% | 2016-10-23 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2015-03-28 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-04-26 | | Won |
| 1230 | 906 | 87% | 2013-10-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1101 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 1185 | 54% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1105.6 vs 1053.7 has a 57.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).