Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1084 | 40% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 966 | 56% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1124 | 33% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1028 | 1069 | 44% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1075 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1068 | 52% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 960 | 1022 | 41% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 938 | 1000 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 977 | 1049 | 40% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1090 | 45% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1037.5 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).