Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1076 | 40% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1217 | 933 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1223 | 956 | 82% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1153 | 1226 | 40% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1065 | 55% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1129 | 1127 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1155 | 46% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1120 vs 1093.4 has a 53.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).