Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1072 | 44% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 933 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 967 | 1209 | 20% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1153 | 1226 | 40% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1003 | 63% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1129 | 1159 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1167 | 45% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1112.8 vs 1112.8 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).