Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1057 | 53% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 1226 | 39% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1027 | 60% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 1173 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1147 | 46% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1133.3 vs 1093.9 has a 55.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).