Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1082 | 48% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1214 | 939 | 83% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1218 | 27% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1223 | 20% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1069 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1106 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1125 | 31% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1100.9 has a 45.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).