Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1061 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 997 | 58% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 1006 | 39% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 931 | 1006 | 39% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 963 | 56% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 1182 | 21% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 1062 | 1025 | 55% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1255 | 26% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
| 958 | 1255 | 15% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1242 | 1149 | 63% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 881 | 68% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 998 | 53% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 940 | 49% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 1008 | 972 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1182 | 44% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1018.4 vs 1046 has a 46.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).