Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (20 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 882 | 75% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1045 | 1180 | 31% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 899 | 1145 | 20% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1027 | 53% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1046 | 65% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1121 | 46% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1041 | 49% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1112 | 55% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 983 | 958 | 54% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 1026 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1017 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1057 | 47% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1206 | 20% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1206 | 22% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1145 | 37% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 976 | 57% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 889 | 70% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1051.9 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).