The Police Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Canadian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 911 | 80% | 2025-05-01 | | Won |
| 918 | 1061 | 31% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 750 | 86% | 2019-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1242 | 23% | 2016-01-09 | | Won |
| 1133 | 938 | 75% | 2015-05-17 | | Won |
| 906 | 921 | 48% | 2015-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 964 | 57% | 2014-07-01 | | Won |
| 1253 | 1064 | 75% | 2014-03-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1315 | 27% | 2014-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2014-02-13 | | Won |
| 992 | 1059 | 40% | 2014-02-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-02-03 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-24 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1013.5 has a 56.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).