Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (20 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 34
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1059 | 54% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 868 | 72% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 963 | 52% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 1037 | 47% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 1007 | 47% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 951 | 924 | 54% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 971 | 46% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1008 | 81% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1051 | 916 | 69% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
| 973 | 1029 | 42% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 992 | 1108 | 34% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1256 | 21% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1029 | 61% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 927 | 803 | 67% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1019.8 has a 52.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).