Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (7 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1003 | 44% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1041 | 42% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1065 | 45% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 1107 | 27% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1058 | 61% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1315 | 1283 | 55% | 2015-07-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1044.7 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).