Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (8 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-08-01 | | Won |
| 941 | 1003 | 41% | 2023-01-29 | | Won |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2023-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2018-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-08-13 | | Lost |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2016-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2015-07-10 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.1 vs 1024.9 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).