About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 868 | 1087 | 22% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2024-08-29 | Won |
| 828 | 1007 | 26% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1043 | 40% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2022-08-29 | Tied |
| 992 | 1279 | 16% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-10-01 | Lost |
| 940 | 886 | 58% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1138 | 40% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2015-04-03 | Won |
| 1229 | 1274 | 44% | 2014-12-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1009.9 vs 1046.9 has a 44.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).