About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (17 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 1122 | 19% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 2024-08-29 | Won |
| 841 | 989 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 968 | 1044 | 39% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 991 | 985 | 51% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 877 | 748 | 68% | 2022-08-29 | Tied |
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 917 | 58% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1063 | 59% | 2020-10-01 | Lost |
| 869 | 887 | 47% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1199 | 32% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 877 | 748 | 68% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 944 | 1058 | 34% | 2015-04-03 | Won |
| 1229 | 1310 | 39% | 2014-12-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1006.2 vs 1028.2 has a 46.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).