All Along the Merderet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2023-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-04-04 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2021-03-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1150 | 60% | 2020-11-13 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2015-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2013-08-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101 vs 1016.6 has a 61.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).