Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (15 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1038 | 958 | 61% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
1084 | 1008 | 61% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
1214 | 890 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
1120 | 1033 | 62% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
1214 | 981 | 79% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
1119 | 1188 | 40% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
1115 | 1011 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
984 | 1008 | 47% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1111.1 vs 1032.3 has a 61.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).