Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (19 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2023-10-30 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2018-05-28 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2017-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2017-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-07-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-03-04 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2014-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-01-26 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2014-01-20 | | Tied |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2013-11-21 | | Won |
| 981 | 1062 | 39% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1039.3 has a 56.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).