The Land of Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2026-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2025-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 974 | 62% | 2022-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2022-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2020-08-15 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1011 | 44% | 2019-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2018-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-04-21 | | Won |
| 960 | 1055 | 37% | 2014-11-01 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-05-17 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1036.2 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).