Rolling Thunder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 1043 | 55% | 2021-10-26 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1040 | 72% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1145.3 vs 1011.7 has a 68.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).