The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1126 | 43% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1334 | 1214 | 67% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 889 | 78% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 906 | 982 | 39% | 2015-05-16 | Lost |
| 980 | 1079 | 36% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1004 | 54% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 836 | 81% | 2013-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1026.8 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).