Bienen Burnout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1212 | 23% | 2021-04-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1006 | 54% | 2014-06-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1037 | 49% | 2014-06-11 | Lost |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-11-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1155 | 32% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1155 | 26% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1015 | 978 | 55% | 2012-12-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 970 | 58% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1064 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1003 vs 1037.6 has a 45.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).