Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1116 | 51% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1098 | 62% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1104 | 994 | 65% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 944 | 1255 | 14% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 889 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1129 | 1097 | 55% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1100 | 52% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1008 | 1055 | 43% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1042.1 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).