Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1007 | 76% | 2025-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2024-11-01 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2021-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-12-11 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-12-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2020-08-22 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1298 | 19% | 2020-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1116 | 41% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2017-02-23 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1163 | 48% | 2016-06-26 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1005 | 44% | 2014-12-27 | | Lost |
| 883 | 1141 | 18% | 2014-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1099 | 54% | 2014-01-29 | | Won |
| 996 | 1064 | 40% | 2013-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-05-17 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2013-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2013-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-13 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1038.5 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).