Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (23 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1128 | 60% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1117 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 973 | 1266 | 16% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1132 | 29% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1003 | 889 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1241 | 1100 | 69% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 948 | 982 | 45% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1099 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1086 | 37% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1081 | 56% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 988 | 69% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1029 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1040.8 has a 54.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).