Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 924 | 56% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1209 | 967 | 80% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1073 | 71% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 945 | 968 | 47% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 998 | 49% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1056 | 1220 | 28% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1131 | 35% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 953 | 64% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1170 | 1128 | 56% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 983 | 52% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 883 | 1141 | 18% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1099 | 54% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1052 | 42% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 983 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1030.6 has a 54.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).