Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (5 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1155 | 790 | 89% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
1029 | 790 | 80% | 2021-09-15 | Won |
994 | 1035 | 44% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
1045 | 1113 | 40% | 2012-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 955.4 has a 67.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).