The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (36 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 68
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 63
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1159 | 31% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1246 | 51% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 926 | 944 | 47% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1045 | 956 | 63% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1255 | 769 | 94% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1255 | 769 | 94% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 952 | 1120 | 28% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1110 | 43% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1084 | 61% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 994 | 1108 | 34% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1198 | 41% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 967 | 56% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1184 | 56% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1108 | 72% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 931 | 64% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1083 | 1069 | 52% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 979 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 916 | 63% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1004 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 1069 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1024.9 has a 57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).