Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (26 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 35
Defender wins (Hungarian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 0
Defender wins (Hungarian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Won |
| 975 | 1087 | 34% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1113 | 39% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1018 | 55% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 903 | 955 | 43% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1066 | 60% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1085 | 59% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 828 | 986 | 29% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1169 | 37% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1099 | 965 | 68% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 876 | 1035 | 29% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 986 | 57% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 903 | 51% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1094 | 41% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 879 | 1036 | 29% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1010.5 vs 1040.7 has a 45.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).