Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 958 | 74% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1116 | 42% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1084 | 49% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1198 | 982 | 78% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 830 | 927 | 36% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1008 | 911 | 64% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1002.5 has a 58.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).