By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 941 | 69% | 2025-09-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1030 | 57% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 930 | 54% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1170 | 995 | 73% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1196 | 1234 | 45% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 755 | 984 | 21% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1093 | 1220 | 32% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 918 | 1003 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1054.7 has a 44.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).