By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-09-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1030 | 51% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 900 | 1174 | 17% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 989 | 78% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1201 | 1253 | 43% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1093 | 1256 | 28% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 917 | 1027 | 35% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1061.9 has a 44.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).