The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (British): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1145 | 49% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 908 | 837 | 60% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 954 | 57% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 1120 | 51% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 994 | 877 | 66% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1150 | 1117 | 55% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 975 | 62% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 983 | 759 | 78% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1076 | 61% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 864 | 72% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1111 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1042 | 1066 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1303 | 917 | 90% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 873 | 1310 | 7% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1190 | 24% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1022 | 52% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 994 | 1190 | 24% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1191 | 964 | 79% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1125 | 31% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1032.2 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).