The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (30 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (British): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1158 | 28% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
897 | 1013 | 34% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
906 | 900 | 51% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
1055 | 1042 | 52% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
1199 | 1199 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
993 | 839 | 71% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
1122 | 1120 | 50% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
1003 | 943 | 59% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
748 | 877 | 32% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
1141 | 1117 | 53% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
1039 | 1019 | 53% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
1017 | 748 | 82% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
1241 | 1077 | 72% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1041 | 864 | 73% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
1042 | 1066 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
1310 | 917 | 91% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
1099 | 1264 | 28% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
748 | 1132 | 10% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
748 | 1132 | 10% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
1141 | 964 | 73% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
1017 | 1125 | 35% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1021.7 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).