Hollis of the Howards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 1015 | 32% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2025-05-10 | Won |
| 1184 | 1131 | 58% | 2025-03-04 | Tied |
| 1238 | 1208 | 54% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-12-07 | Won |
| 1042 | 904 | 69% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
| 981 | 1101 | 33% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1052.6 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).