The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 879 | 70% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 1161 | 31% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1066 | 52% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1049 | 54% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1098 | 70% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1135 | 972 | 72% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1060.6 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).