The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 879 | 67% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1190 | 28% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 940 | 1221 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1066 | 55% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1049 | 54% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1102 | 69% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1014 | 48% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1069.4 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).