Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (18 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1150 | 41% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 850 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1190 | 54% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1216 | 1177 | 56% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1192 | 1012 | 74% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 985 | 52% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 825 | 1138 | 14% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 861 | 1099 | 20% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1027 | 48% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 985 | 68% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 985 | 68% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1064.7 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).