Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (18 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1220 | 33% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 850 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1199 | 1028 | 73% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1025 | 47% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1025 | 77% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 1022 | 45% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 826 | 1070 | 20% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 1135 | 17% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 953 | 59% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1064.3 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).