Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (18 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1180 | 38% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 850 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1217 | 1224 | 49% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1199 | 1028 | 73% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1055 | 76% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 980 | 51% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 826 | 1058 | 21% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 861 | 1117 | 19% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 933 | 61% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 981 | 67% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1140 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1057.6 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).