Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (19 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-07-11 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1170 | 47% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 851 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2021-11-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2021-11-25 | | Won |
| 1234 | 1028 | 77% | 2020-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2020-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2018-11-19 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2016-08-18 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1147 | 16% | 2015-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1126 | 34% | 2014-05-31 | | Won |
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2013-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1061.6 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).