Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 24
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 1129 | 61% | 2026-05-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 998 | 55% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 943 | 940 | 50% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1060 | 30% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 906 | 77% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1342 | 1327 | 52% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 958 | 1083 | 33% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 968 | 1151 | 26% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 885 | 918 | 45% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 900 | 85% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1108 | 1028 | 61% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1383 | 20% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1108 | 50% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1108 | 63% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1230 | 1026 | 76% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1065 | 53% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1115 | 1026 | 63% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 968 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 965 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1155 | 1434 | 17% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1434 | 1150 | 84% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 885 | 41% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1238 | 1225 | 52% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 1231 | 14% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 1033 | 55% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1052 | 1223 | 27% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1073.7 has a 48.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).