Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 875 | 73% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1074 | 43% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 933 | 919 | 52% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 718 | 89% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 977 | 892 | 62% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1044 | 32% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 1032 | 34% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 880 | 909 | 46% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 918 | 74% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1116 | 28% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1143 | 42% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 879 | 57% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 926 | 78% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1120 | 49% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1120 | 51% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 1010 | 68% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1069 | 50% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1100 | 48% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1114 | 40% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1400 | 16% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 979 | 1100 | 33% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1400 | 1114 | 84% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 821 | 927 | 35% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1276 | 1181 | 63% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1173 | 1310 | 31% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1310 | 22% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1086 | 39% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 996 | 1163 | 28% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1054.6 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).