Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 920 | 71% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 1025 | 63% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1021 | 52% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 943 | 940 | 50% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 773 | 81% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1065 | 30% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 991 | 39% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1137 | 51% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1122 | 906 | 78% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1194 | 20% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1143 | 37% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1137 | 896 | 80% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1011 | 64% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1382 | 21% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1110 | 51% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1110 | 62% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1026 | 74% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1099 | 43% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1106 | 43% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 970 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 1419 | 15% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1419 | 1113 | 85% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 879 | 42% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1216 | 1289 | 40% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1172 | 1340 | 28% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1340 | 9% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1003 | 1031 | 46% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1214 | 32% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1076.3 has a 45.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).