The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (French): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1114 | 40% | 2014-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 1273 | 25% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 931 | 889 | 56% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 982 | 55% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1125 | 887 | 80% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1111 | 44% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 976 | 61% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1066.9 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).