The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1045 | 67% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 1275 | 25% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 907 | 891 | 52% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1005 | 1146 | 31% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 892 | 79% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1059 | 987 | 60% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1085 has a 44.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).