Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1037 | 66% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1279 | 19% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1274 | 1025 | 81% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1145 | 42% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1049 | 48% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1169 | 38% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1143 | 30% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 903 | 50% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1054.1 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).