Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1059 | 61% | 2020-12-15 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1289 | 17% | 2018-07-21 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-04-29 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-01-13 | | Tied |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-11-15 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1064 | 46% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1230 | 36% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1107.3 vs 1036.4 has a 60.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).